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97%

Thoughts and Politics

Ever wonder how 97% of 'scientists' agree that humans are causing global warming, when there have been petitions signed by 10,000's of scientists to dispute the idea that humans are changing the climate on a global level?

The 97% number comes from this white paper: Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature

"We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics ‘global climate change’ or ‘global warming’. We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming. In a second phase of this study, we invited authors to rate their own papers. Compared to abstract ratings, a smaller percentage of self-rated papers expressed no position on AGW (35.5%). Among self-rated papers expressing a position on AGW, 97.2% endorsed the consensus. For both abstract ratings and authors’ self-ratings, the percentage of endorsements among papers expressing a position on AGW marginally increased over time. Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research."

It is in the details that people need to look. The 97% number sounds better, so it is what they use. Because 32% wouldn't sound very convincing would it?

The more you know!


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